Will “Kristi / Noem” be said on The Weeknight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kristi / Noem” was said on The Weeknight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 16, 2026 (67%), most recently on Feb 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
40%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Weeknight
Kristi / Noem
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kristi / Noem |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Kristi / Noem” said on The Weeknight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Kristi / Noem” was said on The Weeknight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 16, 2026 (67%), most recently on Feb 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Kristi / Noem” is said on The Weeknight next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘Kristi / Noem’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/kristi-or-noem (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=kristi%20%2F%20noem · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP