Will “Mask / Masked” be said on The Weeknight next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mask / Masked” was said on The Weeknight in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=mask%20%2F%20masked

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Weeknight

Mask / Masked

Probability
40% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

kt menthol adotherThe Weeknight (MS NOW), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 56:52In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

advertisementotherThe Weeknight (MS NOW), September 22, 2026 · Sep 22, 2026 · 50:21In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

adotherThe Weeknight (MS NOW), September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026 · 47:29In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Beshear say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Katie Hobbs say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Adam Schiff say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jacky Rosen say during The Weeknight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 4, 2026Mask / MaskedKalshiYes
Jan 24, 2026Mask / MaskedKalshiNo
Jan 16, 2026Mask / MaskedKalshiNo
Jan 14, 2026Mask / MaskedKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Mask / Masked” said on The Weeknight?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mask / Masked” was said on The Weeknight in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026.
What is the probability “Mask / Masked” is said on The Weeknight next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘Mask / Masked’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/mask-or-masked (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=mask%20%2F%20masked · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP