Will “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” be said on The Weeknight next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said on The Weeknight in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (36%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 16, 2026 – Oct 26, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Weeknight
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 45% · n=11
- Settled
- 4/11 (36%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” said on The Weeknight?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said on The Weeknight in 4 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (36%), most recently on Oct 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” is said on The Weeknight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Weeknight: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-weeknight/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-weeknight&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-weeknight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP