Will “Trump” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Saturday Night Live in 5 of 20 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 4, 2025 (25%), most recently on Nov 9, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=20, from settlement history), not a forecast.

15%from settlement history only · n=20counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=trump

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Saturday Night Live

Trump

Probability
15% · n=20
Settled
5/20 (25%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Will Ferrell say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 21 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 16, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
May 9, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 11, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 4, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 8, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 1, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 1, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 25, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Dec 21, 2025TrumpKalshiNo
Dec 20, 2025TrumpPolymarketNo
Dec 14, 2025TrumpKalshiNo
Dec 7, 2025TrumpKalshiNo
Nov 16, 2025TrumpKalshiNo
Nov 15, 2025TrumpPolymarketNo
Nov 9, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Nov 2, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Oct 18, 2025TrumpPolymarketYes
Oct 11, 2025TrumpKalshiYes
Oct 4, 2025TrumpPolymarketNo
Oct 4, 2025TrumpKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Trump” said on Saturday Night Live?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Saturday Night Live in 5 of 20 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 4, 2025 (25%), most recently on Nov 9, 2025.
What is the probability “Trump” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?
15%, from settlement history (n=20). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP