Saturday Night Live: Episode, Oct 11, 2025
Kalshi What will Amy Poehler say during Saturday Night Live?
Markets
12 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tina / Fey | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nervous | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alone | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Comedy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fun | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Linda Richman | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pressure | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Third | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-25OCT11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP