Saturday Night Live: Episode, Mar 1, 2026
Kalshi What will Connor Storrie say during his SNL opening monologue?
Markets
11 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russia / Russian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Heated Rivalry | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| HBO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Skate / Skated / Skating | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Clown | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Season 2 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shane / Ilya | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City | No | 20%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 19%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26MAR01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP