Saturday Night Live: Episode, Nov 16, 2025
Kalshi What will Glen Powell say during Saturday Night Live?
Markets
11 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | No | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| New York City | No | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Chad Powers | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rumor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sydney Sweeney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Twister / Tornado | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tom Cruise | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Debut | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Comedy / Comedian | No | 24%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ChatGPT | No | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-25NOV16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP