Saturday Night Live: Episode, Oct 19, 2025
Kalshi What will Sabrina Carpenter say during Saturday Night Live?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Album | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Domingo | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dream / Dreamed | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Manchild | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wig | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nervous | No | 23%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| New York City | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Coachella | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Espresso | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| TikTok | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Taylor / Swift | No | 15%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-25OCT19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP