Saturday Night Live: Episode, Nov 15, 2025
Polymarket What will Glen Powell say during Saturday Night Live on November 15?
Markets
9 words · 2 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top Gun | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Texas | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 60%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Running Man 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sabrina / Carpenter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sydney / Sweeney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Taylor / Swift | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-glen-powell-say-during-saturday-night-live-on-november-15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP