Saturday Night Live: Episode, May 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue?
Markets
10 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Disney | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Single | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tour | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| New York | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Brooklyn | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Double Duty | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drop Dead | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Louis Partridge | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sabrina | No | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Coachella | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26MAY02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP