Saturday Night Live: Episode, Nov 2, 2025
Kalshi What will Miles Teller say during Saturday Night Live?
Markets
13 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 53%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Top Gun | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ChatGPT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eternity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hollywood | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Philadelphia / Philly | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tom Cruise | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Whiplash | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nervous | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| New York City | No | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Taylor / Swift | No | 19%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-25NOV02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP