Saturday Night Live: Episode, Apr 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue?
Markets
11 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anitta | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Euphoria | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City / New York | No | 26%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Michael Jackson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oscar / Emmy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sketch | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| The Running Man | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hollywood | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Philly / Philadelphia | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 17%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 15%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26APR11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP