Saturday Night Live: Episode, Dec 14, 2025
Kalshi What will Josh O'Connor say during Saturday Night Live?
Markets
10 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christmas | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City | No | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 36%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Accent / British | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Brilliant | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prince | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tennis | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zendaya | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-25DEC14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP