Saturday Night Live: Episode, Oct 4, 2025
Kalshi What will Bad Bunny say during the Saturday Night Live?
Polymarket What will Bad Bunny say during Saturday Night Live on October 4?
Markets
23 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doja / Cat 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Halftime | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Latino / Immigrant | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nervous | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Puerto Rico | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spanish | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Bowl | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Acting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cardi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Comedian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crazy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Island of Garbage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nicki / Minaj | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Singer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Surprise | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taylor / Swift | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tony | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tour | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-25OCT04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP