Saturday Night Live: Episode, May 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue?
Markets
11 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Affleck / Affleck | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Boston / Cambridge | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Christopher Nolan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Good Will Hunting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Interstellar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jason Bourne / Bourne | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jimmy Kimmel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Odysseus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oppenheimer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 16%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 15%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26MAY09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP