Saturday Night Live: Episode, Mar 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue?
Markets
8 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barbie / Ken | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Project Hail Mary | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City | Yes | 18%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Papyrus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 17%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26MAR08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP