Saturday Night Live: Episode, Feb 1, 2026
Kalshi What will Alexander Skarsgård say during his Saturday Night Live opening monologue?
Markets
11 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardi B | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nicki Minaj | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pillion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tarzan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| True Blood | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vampire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zoolander | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City | No | 23%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Comedy / Comedian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| First Time / First Timer | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 21%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26FEB01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP