Saturday Night Live: Episode, Dec 7, 2025
Kalshi What will Melissa McCarthy say during Saturday Night Live?
Markets
9 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City | Yes | 27%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 43%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Five Times / Five Timer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ghostbusters | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mustard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ozempic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Piggy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ChatGPT | No | 18%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-25DEC07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP