Saturday Night Live: Episode, Dec 20, 2025
Polymarket What will Ariana Grande say during Saturday Night Live on December 20?
Markets
15 words · 1 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merry Christmas | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anorexia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disorder | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Divorce | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ethan / Slater | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gravity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Green | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Music | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wicked 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 32%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Sabrina / Carpenter | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cynthia / Erivo | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Witch | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taylor / Swift | No | 18%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-ariana-grande-say-during-saturday-night-live-on-december-20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP