Saturday Night Live: Episode, Jan 25, 2026
Kalshi What will Teyana Taylor say during her Saturday Night Live opening monologue?
Markets
12 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grateful / Gratitude | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MTV | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| One Battle After Another | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golden Globe / Golden Globes | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Black / Brown | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Escape Room | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| First Time / First Timer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Leo / DiCaprio | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York City | No | 26%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Perfidia / Beverly Hills | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vocal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 24%n=12 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26JAN25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP