Saturday Night Live: Episode, May 10, 2026
Kalshi What will be said during SNL Weekend Update?
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: any cast member Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Virus / Hantavirus | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 33%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Alien | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spirit Airlines | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock Market | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26MAY10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP