Saturday Night Live: Episode, Apr 4, 2026
Kalshi What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue?
Markets
10 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City | No | 31%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Bowser | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chicken Jockey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mario | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Minecraft | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Panda | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| School of Rock | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mayor / Mamdani | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 16%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSNLMENTION-26APR04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP