# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-06-30 (settled) · 24 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-in-june · as_of 2026-10-27T00:39:28Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-06-30 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-06-24..2026-06-29 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-in-june (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage 30 of 40 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-21T04:05:49Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Trump Derangement Syndrome	trump derangement syndrome	14	10	0.71	YYYYnYnYYY	8	1	0.67	hist	2	2	yes	1	
Gulf of Trump	gulf of trump	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.65	hist	0	0	no		1
Dog	dog	11	4	0.36	nYnnnnnYYn	8	0	0.59	hist	2	2	yes	1	
Six Seven	six seven	40	14	0.35	nnnnnYYnnn	8	0	0.55	hist	3	3	yes	1	
Gay	gay	8	2	0.25	nYnnYnnn	8	0	0.47	hist	0	0	no		1
Big League / Bigly	big league|bigly	0	0			8	0	0.45	hist	0	0	no		1
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	68	26	0.38	nnnnnnnnYY	8	3	0.4	hist	24	28	yes	1	
Best of Trump	best of trump	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.4	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer	buy a dell computer|buy dell computer	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.4	hist	0	0	no		1
Hippo / Hippopotamus	hippo|hippopotamus	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.4	hist	0	0	no		1
Regarded	regarded	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.36	hist	0	0	no		1
Antifa	antifa	16	2	0.12	nnnnnnnnnn	8	0	0.34	hist	0	0	no		1
Cocaine	cocaine	6	0	0	nnnnnn	8	0	0.31	hist	1	2	yes	1	
All In All Out	all in all out	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
Ay Ay Ay	ay ay ay	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes		1
Bond	bond	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
Cognitive Test	cognitive test	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes		1
Four More Years	four more year	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
KAG / Keep America Great	kag|keep america great	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
Muscle	muscle	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	8	9	yes	1	
No No No Donald	no no no donald	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
Satan	satan	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
Sex	sex	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
Yips	yip	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1