Will Donald Trump say “Cognitive Test”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cognitive Test” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 30, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Jun 3, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Cognitive Test
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I feel the same way. I'm the only person that took three cognitive tests. No other president's ever taken it or vice president has ever…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | Cognitive Test |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (30 of 40 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Cognitive Test”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cognitive Test” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Cognitive Test” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Cognitive Test’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cognitive-test (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cognitive%20test · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP