Will Donald Trump say “Border” 4+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Border” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 12, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Border 4+ times
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…security secrets. And his vote would wield power over our military, our borders, our homeland security, and much more than that. And to think that…
…American history, and allowed 25 million people to invade your country by pouring across our borders from all over the world. From prisons, they came.
…He wants to take away your guns. He wants to open the borders. He wants to have transgender for everybody. It's a guy who's gone.…
…in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It was an invasion. That was like…
…mean, at the War Department, we've done the same on the southwest border with our interagency partners on law enforcement in cities all across America…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Border 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Border 4+ | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Border 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Border” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 12, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Border 4+ times” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Border 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/border-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=border%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP