Will Donald Trump say “Tax” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 3+ times at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 8, 2024 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax 3+ times
- Probability
- 50% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I am on the ballot essentially because all these things like no tax on tips and no tax on overtime, no tax on social security…
…Republican Congress, I signed the great big beautiful bill delivering the largest tax cuts in American history. I did it in my first term also,…
…be. It's our capital. It should be right. I signed the largest tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no…
…really am on the ballot because we did so many things. Greatest tax cuts, the strongest border we've ever had, all these things. And it…
…not why he did it. But to Americans across the country, your tax dollars are being stolen, and your tax dollars are being stolen from…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tax 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Tax 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Tax 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 3+ times at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 8, 2024 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax 3+ times” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP