JD Vance: Rally, Oct 26, 2026

Mon, Oct 26RallyHistory onlyJD Vance

Updated

Markets

27 words listed
Listed words: result, and the probability published before the event
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Democrat open84%n=56 from settlement history80¢ Kalshi
Election open78%n=43 from settlement history80¢ Kalshi
2028 / Campaign open72%n=32 from settlement history58¢ Kalshi
Biden open67%n=73 from settlement history78¢ Kalshi
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime open66%n=20 from settlement history69¢ Kalshi
Illegal Alien open61%n=49 from settlement history34¢ Kalshi
Social Security open60%n=9 from settlement history54¢ Kalshi
Afford / Affordable / Affordability open58%n=53 from settlement history58¢ Kalshi
Fraud open57%n=51 from settlement history70¢ Kalshi
Border open54%n=21 from settlement history71¢ Kalshi
Steel open52%n=7 from settlement history30¢ Kalshi
Economy / Economic open47%n=18 from settlement history57¢ Kalshi
Farm / Farmer open–new new word, no probability yet79¢ Kalshi
Fertilizer open–new new word, no probability yet46¢ Kalshi
Working Class / Middle Class open44%n=27 from settlement history55¢ Kalshi
Healthcare open44%n=42 from settlement history53¢ Kalshi
Inflation open43%n=28 from settlement history30¢ Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline open38%n=36 from settlement history52¢ Kalshi
American Dream open32%n=40 from settlement history24¢ Kalshi
Manufacture / Manufacturing open31%n=8 from settlement history55¢ Kalshi
China / Chinese open29%n=26 from settlement history22¢ Kalshi
Radical Left open27%n=36 from settlement history38¢ Kalshi
Tariff open27%n=40 from settlement history19¢ Kalshi
Small Business open24%n=11 from settlement history18¢ Kalshi
America First open22%n=52 from settlement history18¢ Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence open18%n=60 from settlement history12¢ Kalshi
Made in America / American Made open12%n=17 from settlement history9¢ Kalshi

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 23, 2026 13:39 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. Scheduled for Mon, Oct 26. Results will show how the venues settle the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXVANCEMENTION-26OCT26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP