# JD Vance (jd-vance) · rally 2026-10-26 · 27 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT26 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:13:18Z # scope K named · n/y settled · tn/th last 5 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-09-03 (under 2 rally transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets # rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT26 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Midterm Rally in Topeka, Kansas originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. w key n y rate l10 tn th p p_src Democrat democrat 56 45 0.8 YYYYYYYYYY 5 4 0.84 hist Election election 43 27 0.63 YYYYYYYYYY 5 1 0.78 hist 2028 / Campaign 2028|campaign 32 18 0.56 nYYYYYYYYY 5 3 0.72 hist Biden biden 73 50 0.68 YYYYYnYYnn 5 4 0.67 hist Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime tax on overtime|tax on tip 20 16 0.8 nYYYYYnYnY 5 0 0.66 hist Illegal Alien illegal alien 49 32 0.65 YYYYYnnYYn 5 3 0.61 hist Social Security social security 9 6 0.67 nYYYYnYnY 5 2 0.6 hist Afford / Affordable / Affordability afford|affordability|affordable 53 29 0.55 YnnYnYYnYY 5 3 0.58 hist Fraud fraud 51 30 0.59 YnYYnYYYnY 5 3 0.57 hist Border border 21 11 0.52 nnnYYnYYnY 5 2 0.54 hist Steel steel 7 4 0.57 YYnnYYn 5 0 0.52 hist Economy / Economic economic|economy 18 8 0.44 nYYYYYnnnn 5 4 0.47 hist Healthcare healthcare 42 19 0.45 nYYnnnnYnn 5 3 0.44 hist Working Class / Middle Class middle class|working class 27 9 0.33 YYYYnnYnnn 5 1 0.44 hist Inflation inflation 28 17 0.61 nnYYYnYnnn 5 2 0.43 hist Oil / Gas / Gasoline gas|gasoline|oil 36 15 0.42 nnnnnYnnYY 5 3 0.38 hist American Dream american dream 40 20 0.5 nnYnnnYnnn 5 0 0.33 hist Manufacture / Manufacturing manufacture|manufacturing 8 2 0.25 nnYnnYnn 5 2 0.31 hist China / Chinese china|chinese 26 11 0.42 nnnnnnnYnn 5 2 0.29 hist Tariff tariff 40 12 0.3 nnnnnnYnnn 5 1 0.27 hist Radical Left radical left 36 3 0.08 nnYYYnnnnn 5 0 0.27 hist Small Business small business 11 3 0.27 nYnYnnnnnn 5 1 0.24 hist America First america first 52 7 0.13 nnnnYnnnnn 5 0 0.22 hist AI / Artificial Intelligence ai|artificial intelligence 60 10 0.17 nnnnnnYnnn 5 3 0.18 hist Made in America / American Made american made|made in america 17 1 0.06 nnnnnnnnnn 5 0 0.12 hist Farm / Farmer farm|farmer 0 0 5 0 0.44 prior Fertilizer fertilizer 0 0 5 0 0.44 prior