Will JD Vance say “Economy / Economic”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, JD Vance said “Economy / Economic” at 8 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 26, 2026 (38%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=21, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 7 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 67¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Economy / Economic
- Probability
- 36% · n=21
- Settled
- 8/21 (38%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…little bit of time to rebuild the foundation of America's middle class economy. I think we've made incredible strides. But our argument to the American…
…isn't giving up a cent of money to Iran, and even the economic benefits, the sanctions relief and so forth that comes along with this…
…themselves could use it, that they could use it in leverage in economic control or economic negotiations. We just don't want them to have a…
…they recognize the illogic of the position of taking the entire American economy hostage because they don't get their policy priorities. So three moderate Democrats…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 25 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Economy / Economic |  Kalshi | No |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Economy / Economic |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Polymarket | No |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Economy / Economic”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, JD Vance said “Economy / Economic” at 8 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 26, 2026 (38%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Economy / Economic” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=21). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Economy / Economic’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/economic-or-economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=economic%20%2F%20economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP