Will JD Vance say “Made in America / American Made”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Made in America / American Made” at 1 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (6%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. No rallies among them yet.

12%from settlement history only · n=18Next: Rally, Oct 26, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
15¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=american%20made%20%2F%20made%20in%20america

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

Made in America / American Made

Probability
12% · n=18
Settled
1/18 (6%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 0 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Montana? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · settled no

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 18 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 26, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Oct 15, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Oct 9, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Oct 5, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Oct 1, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Sep 30, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Sep 21, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Sep 18, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Sep 14, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Sep 9, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Sep 3, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Aug 31, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Aug 24, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Aug 21, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026American Made / Made in AmericaKalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo
Feb 27, 2026Made in America / American MadeKalshiNo

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Made in America / American Made”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Made in America / American Made” at 1 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (6%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Made in America / American Made” next time?
12%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Made in America / American Made’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/american-made-or-made-in-america (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=american%20made%20%2F%20made%20in%20america · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP