Will JD Vance say “Usha”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Usha” at 5 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 1, 2024 (38%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

34%from settlement history only · n=13counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

Usha

Probability
34% · n=13
Settled
5/13 (38%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 2 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 4:07In transcript

…can go to whitehouse.gov in order to do that. And as a -- just on a personal note, obviously, Usha's been very busy this summer.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, May 19, 2026 · May 19, 2026 · 3:50In transcript

…bit more, but where we are now is the president has asked us, has told us to aggressively negotiate with the Iranians. Why did I…

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 21, 2026UshaPolymarketNo
Sep 18, 2026UshaPolymarketNo
Jun 17, 2026UshaKalshiNo
Jun 15, 2026UshaKalshiYes
May 29, 2026UshaKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
May 18, 2026UshaKalshiNo
May 5, 2026UshaKalshiNo
Apr 30, 2026UshaKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Apr 29, 2026UshaKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026UshaKalshiYes
Mar 17, 2026UshaKalshiYes
Jan 23, 2026UshaPolymarketYes
Oct 19, 2025UshaKalshiYes
Oct 30, 2024UshaPolymarketNo
Oct 1, 2024UshaPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Usha”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Usha” at 5 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 1, 2024 (38%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Usha” next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Usha’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/usha (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=usha · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP