Will JD Vance say “SAVE Act / SAVE America”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “SAVE Act / SAVE America” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (40%), most recently on May 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
SAVE Act / SAVE America
- Probability
- 42% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…people. How many American senators know that the American people love the SAVE America Act because they believe in voter ID? But how many of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | SAVE Act / SAVE America |  Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| May 18, 2026 | SAVE Act / SAVE America | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 16, 2026 | SAVE Act / SAVE America | Kalshi | No |
| May 14, 2026 | SAVE Act / SAVE America | Kalshi | No |
| May 5, 2026 | SAVE Act / SAVE America | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 30, 2026 | SAVE Act / SAVE America | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Apr 14, 2026 | SAVE Act / SAVE America | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “SAVE Act / SAVE America”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “SAVE Act / SAVE America” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (40%), most recently on May 18, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “SAVE Act / SAVE America” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘SAVE Act / SAVE America’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/save-act-or-save-america (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=save%20act%20%2F%20save%20america · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP