Will Donald Trump say “Economy / Economic”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Economy / Economic” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Economy / Economic
- Probability
- 32% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
manufactur. So he was wrong because of our economic policy tariffs which again are bringing in massive companies. I don't want to mention audi but…
…on them. You know, they have the worst it's called the worst economy anywhere in the world. And they have the highest Scott they have…
…not taking in any amount of money. They have no tariffs. They have no anything. We have record setting economic success like I just explained
…these refugees and foreign scammers, or cybercrime, where you have entire foreign economies that are propped up on stealing from American seniors. What you're saying…
best economy in our first term that they had ever had, but this is going to blow it away. This will be the best ever.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Economy / Economic |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Economy / Economic |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| May 22, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 4, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Economy / Economic”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Economy / Economic” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Economy / Economic” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Economy / Economic’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/economic-or-economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=economic%20%2F%20economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP