Will Donald Trump say “Hell” 2+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 2+ times at 5 of 18 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (28%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hell 2+ times
- Probability
- 30% · n=18
- Settled
- 5/18 (28%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…"Thank you very much, everybody." And I left. I said, "Who the hell was that guy?" And that's where it began, right? That's where it…
…know, I shouldn't say I shouldn't break, should I? Yeah. What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any…
…National Cyber Director Sean Camon -- where are you, Sean? Where the hell is you? I got to get this name so perfect -- Cairncross.…
…It would be a disaster. She's a fanatical transgender activist. How the hell do you run in South Carolina? Am I in a different state?…
…talking about some -- you got to remove people, get them the hell out, or they're not going to have a -- they're not going…
Every settled listing
newest first · 18 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hell 2+ times |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| May 11, 2026 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Hell 2+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hell 2+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 2+ times at 5 of 18 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (28%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hell 2+ times” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hell 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hell-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hell%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP