Will Donald Trump say “King”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “King” at 13 of 24 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 22, 2025 (54%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=24, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
King
- Probability
- 52% · n=24
- Settled
- 13/24 (54%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Florida GOP Chair Evan Power. Thank you. RNC National Committee woman Kathleen King. Thank you, Kathleen. Good. Good job. And legendary Tampa Bay Buccaneers fullback…
Well, Mr. President, this is far larger than any no Kings rally I've ever seen. Isn't that true?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 25 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | King |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 13, 2026 | King | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | King |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 17, 2026 | King | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 10, 2026 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 4, 2026 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 30, 2026 | King | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 28, 2026 | King | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 27, 2026 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 26, 2026 | King | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 5, 2026 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 13, 2026 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 9, 2025 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 21, 2025 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 28, 2025 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 27, 2025 | King | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Sep 23, 2025 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 18, 2025 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 18, 2025 | King | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 14, 2025 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 24, 2025 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 4, 2025 | King | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 22, 2025 | King | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “King”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “King” at 13 of 24 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 22, 2025 (54%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “King” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=24). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘King’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/king (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=king · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP