Donald Trump: Interview, Jan 13, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during "CBS Evening News" on January 13?
Markets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 66%n=145 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff / Inflation | Yes | 60%n=119 from settlement history | – |
| Eighth War / Eight War | Yes | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| China / Russia | Yes | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 50%n=79 from settlement history | – |
| Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating | Yes | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | Yes | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | No | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Somalia / Somalian / Somali | No | 49%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Stolen | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| King | No | 43%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Dictator | No | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Nobel / Prize | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Chevron / Exxon / ConocoPhillips | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Make America Great Again | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-cbs-evening-news-on-january-13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP