Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 20, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (September 14 - September 20)
Coverage
5 known appearances3 of 5 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Sep 16, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Charlotte, North Carolina Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Virginia Republican Congressional Candidates Representatives Robert J. Wittman, Jennifer Kiggans, and John McGuire Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-rally with Rob Wittman transcript pending
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 18, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement on healthcare transcript pending
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 1 of 1- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter / Laptop | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 45%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Alaska | Yes | – | 0 | – | 51%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat / Cheater | Yes | – | 0 | – | 38%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Migrant Criminal | Yes | – | 0 | – | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | – | 0 | – | 30%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Through The Roof | No | – | 0 | – | 66%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| King | No | – | 0 | – | 61%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Smoke | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sniper | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Valueless | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | – | 44%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Cook / Cooked | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Monopoly | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Milk | No | – | 0 | – | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-september-14-september-20-20260920 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP