Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 5, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during Inter Miami event on March 5?
Markets
24 words · 14 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | Yes | 56%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest / Hot | Yes | 51%n=159 from settlement history | – |
| Where are you | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rubio / Hegseth | Yes | 49%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Oval Office | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sucker / Soccer | Yes | 47%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| King | Yes | 44%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Messi 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pelé | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trophy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup / Olympics 4+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cristiano / Ronaldo | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| First Term | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cookie | No | 46%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| UFC / Dana White | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| GOAT / Greatest Of All Time | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Make Argentina Great Again / Milei | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Handsome | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Picture / Photo | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Microcosm | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Barron | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 29%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Bad Bunny / Crypto | No | 17%n=316 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-inter-miami-event-on-march-5 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP