Donald Trump: Remarks, Apr 27, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?
Markets
23 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| King | Yes | 49%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| 250 / 250th | Yes | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Elizabeth | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Normandy | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Windsor | Yes | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Declaration of Independence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Queen | Yes | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Free World | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Winston / Churchill | Yes | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Farmer | No | 57%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 57%n=94 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 53%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | No | 48%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | 48%n=209 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 46%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Keir / Starmer | No | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Shakespeare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | 38%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Christian | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Immigration / Immigrant | No | 31%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 23%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=349 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-king-charles · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP