Donald Trump: Monthly window, Sep 30, 2026

By Sep 30Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

42 known appearances
30 of 42 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

26 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 6 of 6

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Intel Yes77✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Honda Yes44✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Exxon / ExxonMobil Yes33✓48%n=3 from settlement history–
Visa Yes12✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Dell Yes11✓56%n=10 from settlement history–
Eli Lilly Yes11✓47%n=5 from settlement history–
Google / Alphabet Yes–0–54%n=8 from settlement history–
Meta Yes–0–54%n=3 from settlement history–
NVIDIA Yes–0–52%n=11 from settlement history–
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz Yes–0––new new word, no probability yet–
TikTok / ByteDance Yes–0–39%n=65 from settlement history–
Boeing No–1–58%n=13 from settlement history–
Micron No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Walmart No–0–51%n=4 from settlement history–
Oracle No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
BlackRock No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Citibank No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Discord No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Flock No–2––new new word, no probability yet–
Goldman Sachs No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Hyperliquid No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Qualcomm No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Sikorsky No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Amazon No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
John Deere No–0–47%n=2 from settlement history–
Uber No–0–35%n=4 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-companies-will-trump-mention-in-september · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP