Will Kathy Hochul say “Childcare”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Childcare” at 14 of 28 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=28, from settlement history), not a forecast.

42%from settlement history only · n=28counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=childcare

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Childcare

Probability
42% · n=28
Settled
14/28 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her Let Them Build announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled yes

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her announcement? · settled no

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What will Kathy Hochul say during her World Cup announcement? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 28 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 2, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Jun 17, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Jun 13, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Jun 12, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Jun 10, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Jun 5, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
May 29, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
May 27, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
May 11, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Apr 22, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Apr 21, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Apr 20, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Apr 8, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Apr 6, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo
Apr 2, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Mar 23, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Mar 13, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Mar 4, 2026ChildcareKalshiYes
Feb 14, 2026ChildcareKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Childcare”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Childcare” at 14 of 28 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 13, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Childcare” next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=28). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Childcare’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/childcare (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=childcare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP