JD Vance: Rally, Oct 26, 2026
Kalshi What will JD Vance say during his rally in Montana?
Markets
25 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 67%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | Yes | 66%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | Yes | 60%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | Yes | 57%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Drill / Drilling | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Border | Yes | 54%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | Yes | 44%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 43%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 38%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| American Dream | Yes | 33%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| America First | Yes | 22%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 72%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 61%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 60%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 58%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 47%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 44%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | No | 31%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 29%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | No | 27%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 27%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Small Business | No | 24%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 18%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Made in America / American Made | No | 12%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 26, 2026 19:45 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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