MrBeast: Episode, Jul 4, 2026
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?
Markets
20 words · 2 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time | Yes | 73%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Dream | Yes | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Build | No | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Money | No | 53%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | No | 53%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 51%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 42%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Darius | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cloud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crazy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GTA / Grand Theft Auto | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hunger | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Map | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Minecraft 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rescue | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Treasure | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fortnite | No | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Race | No | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 12%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-gaming-youtube-video-20260626194308517 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP