MrBeast: Episode, Jun 13, 2026
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
Markets
21 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar 5+ times | Yes | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chocolate | Yes | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Eliminate / Eliminated | Yes | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Feastables | Yes | 30%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | Yes | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Lamborghini | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Subscriber | Yes | 22%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | No | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Prize | No | 45%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Island | No | 33%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Apple | No | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Briefcase / Suitcase | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cash | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Red Line | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Jet | No | 16%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Donate / Donated | No | 14%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-20260609182226627 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP