The Rachel Maddow Show
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 406 word markets on The Rachel Maddow Show since 2025, on 127 different words; most reliably said: “Election” (12 of 16).
History Wall
1–40 of 129, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Jun 1episode | Jun 8episode | Jun 15episode | Jun 22episode | Jun 29episode | Jul 6episode | Jul 9episode | Jul 13episode | Jul 20episode | Aug 3latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt / Corruption | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 1 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 29 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 9 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 13 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 20 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 3 episode | 5/956% | 13/2454% | 40%n=24 from settlement history |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 9 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 13 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 20 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 3 episode | 5/956% | 10/1856% | 43%n=18 from settlement history |
| Epstein | Settled no: Epstein, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Jun 8 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Aug 3 episode | 0/30% | 3/1718% | 35%n=17 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Election, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: Election, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Election, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Election, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: Election, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Election, Jul 9 episode | Settled yes: Election, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Election, Jul 20 episode | Settled yes: Election, Aug 3 episode | 5/683% | 12/1675% | 46%n=16 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 9 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 13 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 3 episode | 1/812% | 1/166% | 32%n=16 from settlement history |
| Israel / Israeli | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: Israel / Israeli, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Jul 9 episode | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Aug 3 episode | 1/714% | 1/157% | 33%n=15 from settlement history |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Settled yes: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 8 episode | Settled no: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 9 episode | Settled yes: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 13 episode | Settled yes: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 20 episode | Settled yes: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Aug 3 episode | 5/956% | 9/1464% | 44%n=14 from settlement history |
| Ceasefire | Settled no: Ceasefire, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Ceasefire, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jul 9 episode | Settled no: Ceasefire, Jul 13 episode | Settled yes: Ceasefire, Jul 20 episode | Settled no: Ceasefire, Aug 3 episode | 1/520% | 2/1217% | 35%n=12 from settlement history |
| Ballroom | Settled no: Ballroom, Jun 1 episode | Settled yes: Ballroom, Jun 8 episode | Settled no: Ballroom, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Ballroom, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Ballroom, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: Ballroom, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Aug 3 episode | 2/633% | 5/1145% | 38%n=11 from settlement history |
| Russia / Russian | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 13 episode | Settled yes: Russia / Russian, Jul 20 episode | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Aug 3 episode | 1/425% | 2/1118% | 36%n=11 from settlement history |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 13 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 20 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 3 episode | 0/40% | 1/911% | 33%n=9 from settlement history |
| Hormuzevery time | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: Hormuz, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Aug 3 episode | 1/1100% | 7/7100% | 42%n=7 from settlement history |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: ICE, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: ICE, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: ICE, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: ICE, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: ICE, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: ICE, Jul 9 episode | Settled yes: ICE, Jul 13 episode | Settled yes: ICE, Jul 20 episode | Settled yes: ICE, Aug 3 episode | 5/683% | 6/786% | 46%n=7 from settlement history |
| JD / Vance | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: JD / Vance, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: JD / Vance, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: JD / Vance, Aug 3 episode | 1/250% | 3/743% | 38%n=7 from settlement history |
| Iran3+ times | Not listed: Iran (3 + times), Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Iran (3 + times), Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: Iran (3 + times), Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Iran (3 + times), Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Iran (3 + times), Jun 29 episode | Settled no: Iran (3 + times), Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Iran (3 + times), Jul 9 episode | Settled yes: Iran (3 + times), Jul 13 episode | Settled yes: Iran (3 + times), Jul 20 episode | Settled yes: Iran (3 + times), Aug 3 episode | 4/580% | 5/683% | 45%n=6 from settlement history |
| ICE / DHSevery time | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jun 1 episode | Settled yes: ICE / DHS, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: ICE / DHS, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Aug 3 episode | 2/2100% | 5/5100% | 42%n=5 from settlement history |
| Prison / Camp | Settled yes: Prison / Camp, Jun 1 episode | Settled yes: Prison / Camp, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: Prison / Camp, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Prison / Camp, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Prison / Camp, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Prison / Camp, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Prison / Camp, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Prison / Camp, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Prison / Camp, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Prison / Camp, Aug 3 episode | 3/3100% | 4/580% | 42%n=5 from settlement history |
| China / Chinese | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jun 8 episode | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jul 6 episode | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Aug 3 episode | 2/540% | 2/540% | 39%n=5 from settlement history |
| China | Not listed: China, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: China, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: China, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: China, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: China, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: China, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: China, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: China, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: China, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: China, Aug 3 episode | – | 1/520% | 38%n=5 from settlement history |
| Elon / Musk | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jun 15 episode | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jul 6 episode | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Aug 3 episode | 0/30% | 1/520% | 35%n=5 from settlement history |
| Healthcare | Settled no: Healthcare, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jul 13 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Jul 20 episode | Settled no: Healthcare, Aug 3 episode | 1/333% | 1/520% | 37%n=5 from settlement history |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoinnever said | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 3 episode | – | 0/50% | 36%n=5 from settlement history |
| Prison / Jailevery time | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Aug 3 episode | – | 4/4100% | 40%n=4 from settlement history |
| 250 | Not listed: 250, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: 250, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: 250, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: 250, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: 250, Jun 29 episode | Settled yes: 250, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: 250, Jul 9 episode | Settled no: 250, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: 250, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: 250, Aug 3 episode | 3/475% | 3/475% | 41%n=4 from settlement history |
| Reflecting / Pool | Not listed: Reflecting / Pool, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Reflecting / Pool, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Reflecting / Pool, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Reflecting / Pool, Jun 22 episode | Settled yes: Reflecting / Pool, Jun 29 episode | Settled no: Reflecting / Pool, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Reflecting / Pool, Jul 9 episode | Settled yes: Reflecting / Pool, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Reflecting / Pool, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Reflecting / Pool, Aug 3 episode | 3/475% | 3/475% | 42%n=4 from settlement history |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Aug 3 episode | – | 3/475% | 39%n=4 from settlement history |
| Kristi / Noem | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Aug 3 episode | – | 2/450% | 38%n=4 from settlement history |
| Nuclear | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 6 episode | Settled no: Nuclear, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Aug 3 episode | 0/10% | 1/425% | 36%n=4 from settlement history |
| Blockadenever said | Not listed: Blockade, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Blockade, Aug 3 episode | – | 0/40% | 36%n=4 from settlement history |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistrictingnever said | Settled no: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jun 1 episode | Settled no: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Aug 3 episode | 0/20% | 0/40% | 36%n=4 from settlement history |
| Trump5+ times | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Aug 3 episode | – | 3/3100% | 39%n=3 from settlement history |
| Russia | Not listed: Russia, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Russia, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Russia, Aug 3 episode | – | 2/367% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| Cuba | Not listed: Cuba, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Cuba, Aug 3 episode | – | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| Lincoln | Not listed: Lincoln, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Lincoln, Aug 3 episode | – | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| Mask / Masked | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Aug 3 episode | – | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| NATO | Not listed: NATO, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: NATO, Aug 3 episode | – | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| Obama | Not listed: Obama, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Obama, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Obama, Jun 15 episode | Settled yes: Obama, Jun 22 episode | Settled no: Obama, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Obama, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Obama, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Obama, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Obama, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Obama, Aug 3 episode | 1/250% | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| TSA | Not listed: TSA, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: TSA, Aug 3 episode | – | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| UFC | Settled no: UFC, Jun 1 episode | Settled yes: UFC, Jun 8 episode | Settled no: UFC, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: UFC, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: UFC, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: UFC, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: UFC, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: UFC, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: UFC, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: UFC, Aug 3 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| Fraud | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 1 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 8 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 15 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 22 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 29 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 6 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 9 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 13 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Aug 3 episode | – | 0/30% | 37%n=3 from settlement history |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 15 | 9 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jul 20, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 15 | 8 yes · 7 no | – |
| Jul 13, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jul 9, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? | no transcript | 16 | 1 yes · 15 no | – |
| Jul 6, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 14 | 3 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jun 29, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 15 | 7 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jun 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 15 | 8 yes · 7 no | – |
| Jun 15, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 17 | 12 yes · 5 no | – |
| Jun 8, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 17 | 6 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jun 1, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 15 | 2 yes · 13 no | – |
| May 25, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 18 | 0 yes · 18 no | – |
| May 18, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Rachel Maddow say during her show? | no transcript | 18 | 5 yes · 13 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/the-rachel-maddow-show · words: /api/v1/history?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP