Will “China” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “China” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=5counts: the host
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

China

Probability
38% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 13, 2026ChinaKalshiNo
Apr 6, 2026ChinaKalshiYes
Mar 30, 2026ChinaKalshiNo
Mar 23, 2026ChinaKalshiNo
Mar 16, 2026ChinaKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “China” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “China” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026.
What is the probability “China” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/china (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP