Will “Prison / Camp” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Prison / Camp” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 18, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

42%from settlement history only · n=5counts: the host
Last 10
4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Prison / Camp

Probability
42% · n=5
Settled
4/5 (80%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 15, 2026Prison / CampKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026Prison / CampKalshiYes
Jun 1, 2026Prison / CampKalshiYes
May 25, 2026Prison / CampKalshiNo
May 18, 2026Prison / CampKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Prison / Camp” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Prison / Camp” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 18, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Prison / Camp” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Prison / Camp’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/camp-or-prison (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=camp%20%2F%20prison · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP