Will “Iran” be said 3+ times on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran” was said 3+ times on The Rachel Maddow Show in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (83%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Rachel Maddow Show
Iran (3 + times)
- Probability
- 45% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
Next listing counts: the host
We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Iran (3 + times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Iran (3 + times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Iran (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Iran (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Iran (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Iran (3 + times)” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran” was said 3+ times on The Rachel Maddow Show in 5 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (83%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran (3 + times)” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Iran (3 + times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/iran-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=iran%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP