Will “Reflecting / Pool” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Reflecting / Pool” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 22, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

42%from settlement history only · n=4counts: the host
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Reflecting / Pool

Probability
42% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 13, 2026Reflecting / PoolKalshiYes
Jul 6, 2026Reflecting / PoolKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026Reflecting / PoolKalshiYes
Jun 22, 2026Reflecting / PoolKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Reflecting / Pool” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Reflecting / Pool” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 22, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Reflecting / Pool” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Reflecting / Pool’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/pool-or-reflecting (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=pool%20%2F%20reflecting · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP