Will “Shutdown / Shut Down” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Rachel Maddow Show
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 39% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: the host
We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Shutdown / Shut Down” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Shutdown / Shut Down” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP